Transurban Puts a $21b Price on Its Nashville Toll Lanes Deal

Transurban's I-24 Choice Lanes Project now has a clear price tag: $21b in present-value payments to TDOT, with a revenue-share structure that only bites if returns beat the base case.
By Josua Ferreira -
  • The $21b headline is the present value of all payments to TDOT, and the $24.8b figure published at award equals the same $21b on a consistent present-value basis.
  • Construction payments from 2027 to 2033 total about $7.7b nominal, peaking at roughly $1.1b a year, with $1.50b of present value falling in 2027 alone.
  • Operating payments build from $0.47b in 2036 to 2040 to $5.63b in 2076 to 2085, pushing the heaviest costs decades out.
  • Revenue share sits outside the $21b: TDOT takes 12.5% of the first 200 bps of excess IRR, rising to 75% beyond 600 bps, and 50% to 90% of tolls above $3.20 a mile.
  • Financial Close is due by 12 July 2027, when gearing is finalised and Transurban's equity share is expected to be funded from existing balance sheet capacity.
Summarise with AI:

Transurban details $21b I-24 Choice Lanes payment schedule and revenue share

Transurban noted the Tennessee Department of Transportation (TDOT) announcement of commercial close of the I-24 Choice Lanes Project in Nashville, Tennessee, reached between TDOT and the DriveTN Consortium (DriveTN). The company then set out the payment schedule and revenue share for the I-24 Southeast Choice Lanes concession.

All currency amounts are in US dollars. The $21b is the present value of all payments to TDOT, the same value as at offer.

The $24.8b figure published at award combined present-value and nominal components, as the RFP required. On a consistent present-value basis, it equals $21b.

That clarification gives investors a like-for-like basis to assess the cost of the concession.

The gearing and capital structure will be finalised by financial close. Transurban’s equity share is expected to be funded using existing balance sheet capacity over time.

How the TDOT payments are structured

Construction period payments

Payments during construction, 2027 to 2033 (nominal), total approximately $7.7b, or about $1.1b a year at peak.

On a present-value basis, the construction period profile is:

  • 2027: $1.50b
  • 2028: $0.99b
  • 2029: $0.94b
  • 2030: $0.90b
  • 2031: $0.85b
  • 2032: $0.81b
  • 2033: $0.77b

The schedule shows no payments for 2034 and 2035. Payments are weighted to the early years, which makes the funding approach relevant.

Transurban I-24 Construction Period Payment Profile

Operating period payments

Operating period payments are set out below on a present-value basis, alongside the construction years.

Period Phase Present value ($b)
2027 Construction **1.50**
2028 Construction **0.99**
2029 Construction **0.94**
2030 Construction **0.90**
2031 Construction **0.85**
2032 Construction **0.81**
2033 Construction **0.77**
2034 Construction n/a
2035 Construction n/a
2036 to 2040 Operating **0.47**
2041 to 2045 Operating **0.59**
2046 to 2055 Operating **1.53**
2056 to 2065 Operating **2.34**
2066 to 2075 Operating **3.72**
2076 to 2085 Operating **5.63**
Total payments to TDOT n/a **21.0**

The present values are based on the following:

  • Present values are as of 12 July 2027 (official deadline to financial close).
  • The blended discount rate is 5.2%.
  • Consistent with the Concession Agreement signed 30 September 2026, $0.5b of operating period payments, which sit outside the investment-grade rating, are discounted at 8%.
  • All other payments are investment-grade rated and discounted at rates from 5% to 5.5% according to payment priority.

All payments are subject to the amounts available at Financial Close, and the financial structure requires an investment-grade rating.

Revenue share mechanism explained

Revenue sharing is not included in the $21b. It applies only if the concession outperforms the base case.

Internal rate of return (IRR) is the annual return an investment generates over its life. The maximum leverage (debt/equity) under the TIFIA term sheet is 75/25, and compliance was a procurement requirement.

Excess revenue share bands

Sharing begins when accumulated revenues exceed the base-case level. Beyond that threshold, TDOT’s share rises in successive bands of 200 bps of additional IRR.

IRR above base case TDOT share (%)
First 200 bps **12.5**
Next 200 bps **25.0**
Next 200 bps **50.0**
Beyond 600 bps **75.0**

Rate sharing threshold

Toll revenue from any per-mile toll above $3.20 (2025 dollars) is shared with TDOT. TDOT’s share rises at each $1.60 step above that threshold.

Toll rate threshold TDOT share (%)
Up to $3.20 n/a
$3.20 to $4.80 **50.0**
$4.80 to $6.40 **75.0**
Above $6.40 **90.0**

Because both mechanisms apply only above the base case or above the toll threshold, they sit outside the $21b and come into play in outperformance scenarios.

What happens next for Transurban’s I-24 project

Two dated items follow from the schedule:

  1. Financial Close: the official deadline is 12 July 2027, the present-value date in the schedule. Final payment amounts are subject to the amounts available at Financial Close, and the gearing and capital structure will be finalised by then.
  2. Construction period payments to TDOT: these begin in 2027, per the payment schedule.

Get Infrastructure News Before the Market Moves

Join 20,000+ investors receiving FREE breaking ASX news within minutes of release, complete with in-depth analysis of the full announcement. Click the “Free Alerts” button at Big News Blast to get market-moving updates in your inbox the moment they break and stay ahead of the crowd.


Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Transurban I-24 Choice Lanes Project?

It is a Nashville, Tennessee toll lanes concession between the Tennessee Department of Transportation and the DriveTN Consortium, which Transurban is part of. TDOT has announced commercial close.

How much will Transurban pay TDOT for the I-24 concession?

The present value of all payments to TDOT is US$21b. The $24.8b figure published at award mixed present-value and nominal components, and equals $21b on a consistent present-value basis.

What is revenue share in the I-24 concession, and when does it apply?

Revenue share is not included in the $21b and applies only if the concession outperforms the base case. TDOT's share starts at 12.5% for the first 200 bps of additional IRR and rises to 75% beyond 600 bps.

When is Financial Close for the I-24 Choice Lanes Project?

The official deadline for Financial Close is 12 July 2027, which is also the present-value date in the payment schedule. Gearing and capital structure will be finalised by then.

How will Transurban fund its share of the I-24 project?

Transurban expects to fund its equity share using existing balance sheet capacity over time. The maximum leverage under the TIFIA term sheet is 75/25 debt to equity.

Josua Ferreira
By Josua Ferreira
Partnership Director
Josua Ferreira holds a Bachelor of Commerce in Marketing and Advertising and brings a background in publication, business development, and ASX market storytelling. He has worked with listed companies across the resource sector and broader market, combining sharp commercial instincts with a genuine commitment to keeping investors informed.
Learn More
Companies Mentioned in Article

Breaking ASX Alerts Direct to Your Inbox

Join +20,000 subscribers receiving alerts.

Join thousands of investors who rely on StockWire X for timely, accurate market intelligence.

About the Publisher