Zip Co Posts 18% TTV Growth in Q1 FY27 and Holds $340m Profit Target Despite Fraud Hit

Zip Co 1Q FY27 Results show TTV up 18.0% to $4.6b and FY27 cash EBTDA guidance of $340m reconfirmed, even after a US$7.2m fraud event and a US leadership shake-up.
By Josua Ferreira -
  • Zip's US TTV grew 34.1% and September accelerated to 41% year on year, showing the fraud event did not derail the business that generates roughly 80% of cash earnings.
  • Reported cash EBTDA of $65.0m rose only 3.4% after $10.1m of fraud costs, but adjusted cash EBTDA of $75.1m grew 19.5% and FY27 guidance of $340m was reconfirmed.
  • Net bad debts rose to 1.97% of TTV from 1.65%, with US losses of 1.93% sitting near the 2.0% top of the target range.
  • A US$300m inaugural ABS priced at 5.68% and Fitch AAA rated on the senior tranche gives Zip US a broader, cheaper funding base.
  • Zip is buying back up to $50m of stock, with $15.7m done, while Australian active customers fell 6.9% to 1.7m.
Summarise with AI:

Q1 FY27 highlights: TTV up 18.0% to $4.6b, FY27 guidance reconfirmed

In its Q1 FY27 results update for the three months ended 30 September 2026, Zip Co recorded total transaction volume (TTV) of $4.6b, up 18.0% on 1Q26. Total income reached $376.1m (up 17.0%) and transactions rose 21.8% to 31.6m.

Adjusted cash EBTDA was $75.1m, up 19.5% (or 28.7% on a constant currency basis). Reported cash EBTDA was $65.0m (up 3.4%), after $10.1m of operating expenses relating to an external fraud event in the US.

The company reconfirmed FY27 guidance for Group cash EBTDA of $340m, up 26% year on year. Revenue margin was flat at 8.2%.

Cynthia Scott, Group CEO and Managing Director

“Customers are choosing to use Zip more often, driving strong top line growth, with transactions per customer up 27.0% in the US and 14.2% in Australia…”

Metric 1Q27 1Q26 / change
TTV $4.6b Up 18.0%
Total income $376.1m Up 17.0%
Transactions 31.6m Up 21.8%
Cash NTM 3.8% 4.0% in 1Q26
Net bad debts (% of TTV) 1.97% 1.65% in 1Q26

US performance: TTV up 34.1% as fraud event contained

Growth and engagement

US TTV grew 34.1% and revenue 32.0% year on year (both in USD). Spend per customer rose 30.2% to US$1,958 per annum, while transactions per customer increased 27.0% to 14.0x per annum.

US merchants increased 31.2% to 32.6k, including the addition of Puma, CommentSold, Crutchfield and Just Energy.

The quarter also coincided with leadership change in the division, with Rory Herriman stepping in as interim US CEO after Joe Heck resigned, a notable shift given the US generates roughly 80% of cash earnings.

Fraud event and credit

Zip identified and contained an external fraud event involving coordinated individuals establishing new accounts using legitimate credentials to execute unpaid transactions. It temporarily affected TTV and new customer growth in July and August, and resulted in US$7.2m (A$10.1m) of cash operating expenses.

September TTV rose 41% year on year (in USD), with positive momentum continuing into October. Zip notified the relevant authorities and lodged a claim with its insurer.

US net bad debts were 1.93% of TTV. The company said the quarter-on-quarter movement was primarily driven by seasonality, with some impact from TTV being temporarily moderated by the fraud mitigation measures.

Zip is forecasting 2Q27 net bad debts as a percentage of TTV to be lower than 1Q27 and to remain within the top half of the 1.5 – 2.0% target range.

Product and funding

Zip planned the launch of Zip® Cash, a same-day cash loan product, to select US customers during the holiday season. It also signed an agreement with Paycile to offer customers the option to use Pay-in-2 for rental payments.

In October, Zip selected Google Cloud and Quantium to establish the agentic foundation for an AI-Native Product Factory powered by Gemini Enterprise. It also entered a new banking partnership with nationally chartered bank Column N.A.

On funding, Zip established a two-year US$300.0m securitisation, the first Asset Backed Security (ABS) issuance for Zip US, priced at a fixed rate yield of 5.68%. The limit of AR5 was increased to US$583.4m in October.

The inaugural US securitisation drew AAA rated notes from Fitch on the senior tranche, which supported competitive pricing and broadened the institutional investor base behind Zip’s US receivables funding.

Zip AU and how buy now, pay later credit works

Australian momentum

AU revenue rose 8.3% and receivables grew 11.8% year on year to $2,333.2m. Excess spread was 8.5% and portfolio yield 18.9%, while arrears fell to 2.35% from 2.67% at 30 June 2026.

Spend per customer rose 13.0% to $2,265 per annum, and transactions per customer increased 14.2% to 29.7x. AU merchants grew 9.3% to 64.0k, including Vietnam Airlines, Phil Hoffmann Travel and Carbar.

Credit and customer numbers were mixed. AU net bad debts were 3.51%, down from 3.83% at 30 June 2026 but above 3.33% a year earlier. Active AU customers were down 6.9% year on year to 1.7m.

AU figures exclude New Zealand, with the wind down of that business expected to complete by the end of CY2026.

Educational: Understanding excess spread and net bad debts

Excess spread shows how much margin a lender keeps after funding and credit costs:

  1. Yield: the income earned on customer receivables.
  2. Funding cost: the cost of the borrowing used to fund those receivables.
  3. Net loss rate: the share of receivables written off as bad debts, after recoveries.
  4. Excess spread: the margin left after funding cost and net loss rate are taken from yield.

Educational Flowchart: Excess Spread Calculation

This is why investors watch net bad debts as a percentage of TTV alongside growth. Rising volumes can add income, but higher losses reduce the margin that remains.

Balance sheet, capital management and FY27 outlook

At 30 September 2026, Zip held $452.0m of total cash, with $224.4m in available cash and liquidity.

During the quarter, Zip acquired 9.7m shares for $23.7m on market via its Employee Share Trust to minimise dilution from Equity Incentive Plan allocations. It also commenced an on-market share buy-back of up to $50m, with 7.6m shares purchased for $15.7m by 30 September 2026.

Group funding facilities comprised an AU limit of $2,422.5m (drawn $2,186.6m) and a US limit of US$858.6m (drawn US$468.2m).

Zip reconfirmed its FY27 guidance, which is subject to market conditions:

  • US TTV growth greater than 30% (in USD)
  • Group revenue margin of circa 8%
  • Group cash net transaction margin of between 3.8% – 4.0%
  • US net bad debt target range of 1.5 – 2.0% of TTV
  • Group operating margin expected to expand to between 20% – 22%
  • Group cash EBTDA of $340m, growth of 26% year on year

Upcoming investor engagement dates:

  • Evans & Partners SMID Caps Conference, Melbourne: 28 October 2026
  • UBS Australasia Conference, Sydney: 10 November 2026
  • Zip Annual General Meeting: 19 November 2026
  • UBS Global Technology and AI Conference, Scottsdale: 30 November 2026

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is excess spread in buy now, pay later lending?

Excess spread is the margin a lender keeps after funding costs and net loss rate are deducted from the yield on customer receivables. Zip reported an AU excess spread of 8.5% for the quarter.

What were Zip Co's results for the first quarter of FY27?

For the three months to 30 September 2026, Zip reported TTV of $4.6b (up 18.0%), total income of $376.1m (up 17.0%) and adjusted cash EBTDA of $75.1m (up 19.5%). Reported cash EBTDA was $65.0m after $10.1m of fraud-related costs.

What is Zip Co's FY27 guidance?

Zip reconfirmed Group cash EBTDA of $340m, up 26%, US TTV growth above 30% in USD, and an operating margin of 20% to 22%. Guidance is subject to market conditions.

What happened with the Zip US fraud event in 2026?

Coordinated individuals opened new accounts with legitimate credentials and ran unpaid transactions, affecting US TTV and new customer growth in July and August. It cost US$7.2m (A$10.1m), and Zip notified authorities and lodged an insurance claim.

When is the Zip Co annual general meeting in 2026?

Zip's Annual General Meeting is scheduled for 19 November 2026. Management also presents at the UBS Australasia Conference in Sydney on 10 November 2026.

Josua Ferreira
By Josua Ferreira
Partnership Director
Josua Ferreira holds a Bachelor of Commerce in Marketing and Advertising and brings a background in publication, business development, and ASX market storytelling. He has worked with listed companies across the resource sector and broader market, combining sharp commercial instincts with a genuine commitment to keeping investors informed.
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