Suncorp Group Ltd Secures FY27 Reinsurance and Reaffirms Profit Guidance

By Josua Ferreira -

Suncorp secures FY27 reinsurance program and reaffirms upper-end FY26 profit guidance

Suncorp (ASX: SUN) has successfully placed its FY27 reinsurance program and reaffirmed that its Underlying Insurance Trading Ratio (ITR) is expected to reach towards the upper end of its 10-12% range, ahead of its full-year results.

The renewal adds aggregate protection as a structural enhancement, complementing the main catastrophe program and reducing earnings volatility. Suncorp will release its FY26 results on 12 August 2026 at 10:00am.

Acting CEO Jeremy Robson said the renewal reflected continued discipline in the Group’s reinsurance strategy, balancing cost, earnings volatility and capital efficiency.

FY27 reinsurance structure strengthened with aggregate cover

Suncorp has now placed its main catastrophe program for FY27, which maintains the maximum event retention of $350 million for a first and second large event. The program covers the Home, Motor and Commercial property portfolios across Australia and New Zealand.

The layered structure combines the newly placed catastrophe cover with the 5-year aggregate arrangement previously announced on 24 April 2026, which commenced on 30 June 2026. Combined with dropdown covers, the retention for a third and fourth event in Australia is reduced to $150 million.

The 5-year aggregate reinsurance arrangement, commencing 30 June 2026, was structured to keep the economic cost broadly neutral through modelled recoveries and profit share commissions, while delivering a one-off capital release of approximately $100 million.

Key features of the FY27 program include:

  • Main catastrophe program: protection for losses between $500 million and $6.4 billion, including one full prepaid reinstatement

  • Coverage across Home, Motor and Commercial property portfolios in Australia and New Zealand

  • Aggregate cover: $800 million annually, up to $2.4 billion over the 5-year period, with an FY27 attachment point of $1,850 million

  • Structured multi-year cover (from July 2025): losses between $350 million and $500 million for a first and second event

  • Third and fourth event retention in Australia reduced to $150 million

  • New Zealand buydown cover between NZ$200 million and the Group’s maximum event retention

Suncorp FY27 Key Reinsurance Limits

Cover Type Attachment / Range Limit Notes
Main Catastrophe Program $500m – $6.4bn Up to $6.4bn One full prepaid reinstatement; AU & NZ
Structured Multi-Year Cover $350m – $500m $150m layer First and second event (from July 2025)
Group Dropdown Cover $350m – $500m Third and fourth event
Aggregate Cover Attachment $1,850m $800m annually / $2.4bn over 5 years Previously announced 24 April 2026
New Zealand Buydown NZ$200m – max event retention Included in aggregate cover

Acting CEO Jeremy Robson

“The FY27 reinsurance program demonstrates our focus on optimising returns while ensuring appropriate protection for our customers and shareholders.”

What reinsurance means for insurers — and why this matters

The natural hazard allowance is the amount an insurer budgets for expected catastrophe claims across a financial year. Suncorp has reaffirmed its FY27 allowance at $1,800 million, excluding claims handling expenses and profit commission.

The aggregate cover is expected to cap natural hazard costs at $1,850 million in approximately 90% of scenarios for FY27.

FY26 outlook — profit resilience despite natural hazard overrun

Suncorp reaffirmed that its Underlying ITR is expected to be towards the upper end of the 10-12% range, despite natural hazard costs running above allowance during the year. Total reinsurance costs in FY27 are expected to be above FY26, reflecting the inclusion of aggregate cover and exposure growth, partly offset by improved pricing in the main catastrophe program.

Natural hazard experience was approximately $250 million above the FY26 allowance of $1,770 million, driven by 18 separate events above $10 million during the period.

Gross written premium (GWP) growth is expected to be approximately 2.7%, impacted by an ongoing weak economy and soft commercial market in New Zealand, alongside a marginal reduction in demand in Australia.

Total investment income is expected to be between $750 million and $800 million. The lower figure relative to FY25 is predominantly driven by rising bond yields resulting in mark-to-market losses in both insurance funds and shareholders’ funds. The exit yield on insurance funds as at 30 June was approximately 5.2%.

Key FY26 outlook items include:

  • GWP growth of approximately 2.7%

  • Total investment income of $750m–$800m

  • Insurance funds exit yield of approximately 5.2% at 30 June

  • 18 natural hazard events above $10 million, with estimated total FY26 natural hazards of approximately $2,020 million

Item FY26 ($m) FY25 ($m)
Investment income on insurance funds ~440 – 450 741
Investment income on shareholders’ funds ~310 – 350 486
Total investment income ~750 – 800 1,227

Capital release and what comes next

Beyond the reinsurance renewal, Suncorp flagged capital efficiency benefits from its updated program. In addition to the one-off capital release of approximately $100 million through lower capital targets announced on 24 April 2026, the company expects the aggregate cover will allow for a reduction in the amount of excess capital held above the midpoint of its target range. Further details will be provided at the FY26 results.

On leadership, Steve Johnston is returning from medical leave effective Monday 6 July 2026. Jeremy Robson, who has been Acting CEO, will return to his substantive role as CFO, and Neil Wesley, who has been Acting CFO, will also return to his substantive role.

Key upcoming milestones include:

  1. 6 July 2026 — Steve Johnston returns as CEO

  2. 12 August 2026 — FY26 results briefing at 10:00am, available via live video webcast

Further detail is expected at the FY26 results briefing.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Suncorp FY27 reinsurance program and what does it cover?

Suncorp's FY27 reinsurance program provides catastrophe protection for losses between $500 million and $6.4 billion across its Home, Motor and Commercial property portfolios in Australia and New Zealand, and includes a 5-year aggregate arrangement providing up to $800 million of annual cover with an FY27 attachment point of $1,850 million.

What is Suncorp's Underlying Insurance Trading Ratio guidance for FY26?

Suncorp has reaffirmed that its Underlying ITR is expected to be towards the upper end of its 10–12% target range for FY26, despite natural hazard costs running approximately $250 million above the $1,770 million allowance due to 18 separate events above $10 million.

How does Suncorp's aggregate reinsurance cover reduce earnings volatility?

The 5-year aggregate arrangement, which commenced 30 June 2026, is expected to cap Suncorp's natural hazard costs at $1,850 million in approximately 90% of FY27 scenarios, while also delivering a one-off capital release of approximately $100 million at broadly neutral economic cost.

When will Suncorp release its FY26 full-year results?

Suncorp will release its FY26 full-year results on 12 August 2026 at 10:00am, available via live video webcast, with further detail on capital management and the reinsurance program expected at that briefing.

What is Suncorp's expected investment income for FY26?

Suncorp expects total investment income of between $750 million and $800 million for FY26, down significantly from $1,227 million in FY25, primarily due to rising bond yields causing mark-to-market losses in both insurance and shareholders' funds.

Josua Ferreira
By Josua Ferreira
Partnership Director
Josua Ferreira holds a Bachelor of Commerce in Marketing and Advertising and brings a background in publication, business development, and ASX market storytelling. He has worked with listed companies across the resource sector and broader market, combining sharp commercial instincts with a genuine commitment to keeping investors informed.
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