Monash IVF Posts $10.4M Profit Amid Market Share Loss, Eyes FY27 Recovery

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Key Takeaways

Monash IVF delivers resilient 1H26 result with $10.4m underlying NPAT at upper end of guidance despite 2.5% market share decline, as international growth offsets domestic softness ahead of expected FY27 sector recovery.

  • Monash IVF's 1H26 result demonstrates operational resilience despite a 2.5% decline in domestic market share and challenging industry conditions
  • International expansion in Southeast Asia is providing a meaningful growth offset to softer Australian volumes
  • Management expects the Australian ARS sector to return to 2-3% annual growth from FY27, with emerging demand drivers adding further upside
  • The new Brisbane flagship clinic opening in Q4 FY26 represents a near-term capacity expansion catalyst
  • Net leverage of 2.0x provides balance sheet headroom for organic investment and potential M&A activity

Monash IVF Group has delivered a resilient 1H26 performance amidst challenging market conditions, reporting revenue of $137.9 million (down 1.8% on 1H25) and underlying NPAT of $10.4 million, at the upper end of November 2025 guidance. The result demonstrates operational stability following disruptions in Q4 FY25 and Q1 FY26, with the company declaring an interim dividend of 1.2 cents per share, fully franked, despite softer earnings driven by industry headwinds and elevated cost pressures.

What drove the 1H26 result?

Australian IVF market conditions and market share

The Australian assisted reproductive services (ARS) sector showed early signs of stabilisation in 1H26, with stimulated cycles declining just 0.2% compared to 1H25. However, Monash IVF’s domestic stimulated cycle market share fell 2.5% to 19.0%, with the company citing negative media impacts and state-level performance variability as contributing factors. While market share declined across most states, South Australia delivered growth. The company maintained a frozen embryo transfer market share of 20.6%.

Metric 1H26 1H25 Change
Australian stimulated cycles 5,163 5,850 -11.7%
Domestic market share (stimulated) 19.0% 21.5% -2.5%
FET market share 20.6% 21.5% -0.9%

International operations deliver growth

Monash IVF’s international division provided a positive offset to domestic weakness, with average revenue per stimulated cycle increasing 7%. Bali stimulated cycles more than doubled (up 153%), Singapore cycles rose 6.4%, and Johor Bahru increased 26%. The company is focused on driving greater collaboration across its Southeast Asian clinics to optimise operational efficiency and capture regional growth opportunities.

Understanding IVF sector dynamics and why FY27 outlook matters for investors

Stimulated cycles refer to IVF treatment cycles where a woman’s ovaries are medically stimulated to produce multiple eggs for retrieval and fertilisation. These cycles represent the core volume driver for IVF providers and are influenced by traditional demand factors including advanced maternal age, rising obesity rates, improving success rates, and favourable government funding. Emerging demand drivers such as genetic carrier screening, egg freezing, and growing LGBTQIA+ and single parent patient segments are expected to support additional growth.

Monash IVF anticipates the Australian ARS sector will return to growth of 2-3% per annum from FY27, with emerging demand drivers potentially adding a further 1-2% growth. The current softness is cyclical rather than structural, with IVF services remaining a non-discretionary healthcare offering underpinned by long-term demographic tailwinds.

Clinical pregnancy rates reach 40.7% as science investments advance

Monash IVF reported a clinical pregnancy rate of 40.7% for women under 43 during January to September 2025, up from 40.1% in CY24. This sustained improvement reflects ongoing investments in scientific innovation and clinical excellence, including 22 interventional research projects and 34 observational studies utilising clinical datasets.

Management Commentary

“Pregnancy rates have increased year on year reflecting continuous scientific innovation and clinical excellence.”

Key innovation initiatives include:

  • $15 million mitochondrial donation MRFF grant in partnership with Monash University
  • Pre-pilot trial of wearable hormone fertility tracker with Symex Labs at the Cremorne site
  • TGA registration of the Felix sperm separation device (effective 22 January 2026)

These investments position Monash IVF to maintain its competitive advantage in clinical outcomes whilst supporting patient attraction and retention.

CEO priorities centre on Victorian transformation and operational excellence

New leadership’s strategic focus areas

Dr Victoria Atkinson has outlined three priority pillars for the business:

  1. Deliver Sustainable Organic Growth: Reignite volume and margin growth, restore Victorian and NSW portfolio performance, and implement data-led operational excellence initiatives.
  2. Renew Strategic Priorities: Complete the Brisbane flagship clinic and day hospital in Q4 FY26, deliver the 2030 strategic plan to drive return on invested capital and margin expansion, and enhance premium service innovations.
  3. Align Medical and Executive Leadership: Amplify medical leadership structure, build a high-performing executive team, and reinforce scientific and clinical governance across the Group.

The new Brisbane flagship clinic and day hospital opening in Q4 FY26 represents a near-term catalyst for capacity expansion and service delivery enhancement.

Balance sheet and FY26 guidance

Monash IVF maintained net debt of $94.9 million as at 31 December 2025, with a leverage ratio of 2.0x, well below the banking covenant threshold of 3.5x. The company confirmed full-year FY26 underlying NPAT guidance of $20.0 million remains unchanged. Capital expenditure for FY26 is expected at $16-17 million, with the major infrastructure replacement programme completing in Q4 FY26. The dividend policy of 60-70% payout ratio remains in place, providing ongoing shareholder returns.

Capital Metrics 31 Dec 2025 30 Jun 2025
Net Debt $94.9m $89.6m
Net Leverage Ratio 2.0x 1.7x
Interest Cover 9.3x 11.3x

The balance sheet provides headroom for both organic investment and potential M&A activity, whilst guidance confirmation reduces near-term earnings uncertainty for investors. With stabilising sector conditions anticipated in 2H26 and structural growth drivers positioned to return in FY27, Monash IVF’s operational resilience and scientific leadership provide a foundation for medium-term recovery.

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John Zadeh
By John Zadeh
Founder & CEO
John Zadeh is a seasoned small-cap investor and digital media entrepreneur with over 10 years of experience in Australian equity markets. As Founder and CEO of StockWire X, he leads the platform's mission to level the playing field by delivering real-time ASX announcement analysis and comprehensive investor education to retail and professional investors globally.
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