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The Codan share price sits at $55.20, more than twice Morningstar's unchanged $28.41 fair value, even after a second guidance upgrade lifted first-half Communications revenue to $410-420 million.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:57:41 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/codan-share-price-morningstar-value-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/codan-share-price-morningstar-value-october-2026/
The Anthropic IPO could price at $1.5-2 trillion, and the maths says buyers at that level need roughly 22-25% compound revenue growth for a decade just to earn 10% a year.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:44:54 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/anthropic-ipo-valuation-risks-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/anthropic-ipo-valuation-risks-october-2026/
The Big Tech selloff sent the Nasdaq Composite down 2.60% on 22 October 2026 even as Meta and Tesla beat earnings, because investors are now asking whether AI spending actually pays.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:29:43 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/big-tech-selloff-meta-tesla-nasdaq-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/big-tech-selloff-meta-tesla-nasdaq-october-2026/
SpaceX spent about US$16.4 billion on AI capex in one quarter against roughly US$7.56 billion of AI revenue, and the SpaceX AI infrastructure buildout now targets 13 GW by end-2027 with power, not chips, as the binding constraint.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 22:00:08 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/spacex-ai-infrastructure-buildout-power-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/spacex-ai-infrastructure-buildout-power-october-2026/
Trend line breaks across seven markets have left the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) 21.2% below its $668.91 record, and this guide shows which break matters most and what it proves.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:43:48 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/trend-line-breaks-smh-semiconductor-sell-off-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/trend-line-breaks-smh-semiconductor-sell-off-october-2026/
Fisher Investments still calls this a bull market climbing a wall of worry, even as France's 10-year yield tops 5% for the first time since 2002, Brent trades near $115 and AI-linked bonds hit distressed levels.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 19:30:18 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/fisher-investments-bull-market-wall-worry-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/fisher-investments-bull-market-wall-worry-october-2026/
The tech stock sell-off that knocked 2.6% off the Nasdaq and 12% off Lam Research on 22 October 2026 may say more about valuations, safety-seeking and midterm nerves than about any collapse in AI demand.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:58:42 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/tech-stock-sell-off-lam-research-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/tech-stock-sell-off-lam-research-october-2026/
S&P 500 concentration means roughly 30 stocks carry more than half the index's weight, so a 7,624 close hides a market where more than 40% of members are down this year.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:46:42 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/sp-500-concentration-top-30-stocks-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/sp-500-concentration-top-30-stocks-october-2026/
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shares jumped about 14% on Bessent's ownership comments, then gave it back within days, because a full Fannie Mae Freddie Mac release still faces Treasury's senior preferred claims, 79.9% warrants and a mortgage-rate test.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:45:09 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/fannie-mae-freddie-mac-release-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/fannie-mae-freddie-mac-release-october-2026/
The EUR/USD forecast hinges on a 51.9 eurozone PMI that still signals growth, yet the euro fell for three straight sessions to near 1.1200 as France slipped into contraction and markets priced 76-80% odds of another Fed hike by December.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 11:27:10 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/eur-usd-forecast-euro-fed-hike-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/eur-usd-forecast-euro-fed-hike-october-2026/
The OAT-Bund spread hit roughly 178bp this week, a level last seen during the euro crisis, yet EUR/USD has barely moved, and ING says a 200bp "pain level" could change that fast.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 10:27:26 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/oat-bund-spread-euro-risk-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/oat-bund-spread-euro-risk-october-2026/
Kohl's and Cracker Barrel each surged more than 30% in October as the Nasdaq fell 2.6%, but tariff refunds flattered both reports, so here is what separates durable mid-cap turnaround stocks from one-off rallies.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 06:29:31 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/mid-cap-turnaround-stocks-nasdaq-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/mid-cap-turnaround-stocks-nasdaq-october-2026/
Meta Platforms earnings beat on revenue at $64.6 billion, yet the shares fell almost 7% in one session as negative free cash flow of $2.12 billion shifted the debate from ad growth to who pays for AI.]]> Sat, 24 Oct 2026 02:28:57 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/meta-stock-earnings-ai-capex-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/meta-stock-earnings-ai-capex-october-2026/
The semiconductor stocks decline wiped roughly $2 trillion off chip valuations in eight straight sessions, and the deepest damage is in debt-funded AI infrastructure like CoreWeave, not in the chip cycle itself.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 23:14:50 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/semiconductor-stocks-decline-ai-financing-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/semiconductor-stocks-decline-ai-financing-october-2026/
Brent crude above $117 and a record XLE sit alongside gold about 28% below its January peak, and this split in energy stocks during the Iran war reveals what each asset is really pricing.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 23:14:06 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/energy-stocks-iran-war-gold-divergence-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/energy-stocks-iran-war-gold-divergence-october-2026/
The USD/MXN forecast hinges on Hormuz, not Mexico: the peso is on course for a weekly loss of more than 1% near 18.66 despite a 0.6% IGAE gain, with a 78% market-implied December Fed hike and Core PCE next week as the swing factors.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 21:59:14 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/usd-mxn-forecast-peso-outlook-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/usd-mxn-forecast-peso-outlook-october-2026/
The Philippine peso outlook stays bearish after the BSP's 50 basis point hike to 5.50% failed to hold the currency, which slid back toward a record-low ₱63.5 per US dollar as Brent crude held above US$110.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 20:00:02 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/philippine-peso-outlook-bsp-rate-hike-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/philippine-peso-outlook-bsp-rate-hike-october-2026/
The 10-year Treasury yield fell 17 to 19 basis points to near 4.97% on 22 October, its biggest one-day drop since March 2023, and one commentator reads it as pre-midterm market stress rather than relief.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:16:49 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/treasury-yield-pre-midterm-market-stress-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/treasury-yield-pre-midterm-market-stress-october-2026/
Ninety-four of 100 economists expect a Fed rate hike in October to be skipped, but TD Securities warns the pause is the more hawkish outcome because it raises the odds of bigger moves later.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 15:00:29 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/fed-october-pause-bigger-hikes-td-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/fed-october-pause-bigger-hikes-td-october-2026/
The Bank of America defensive call stays in force to mid-November even as equity funds absorbed $55.6B in a week, because Hartnett's exit triggers sit in credit spreads, French bonds and midterm pricing, not in headline flows.]]> Fri, 23 Oct 2026 12:58:20 +1000 https://stockwirex.com/analysis/bank-of-america-defensive-call-hartnett-october-2026/ https://stockwirex.com/analysis/bank-of-america-defensive-call-hartnett-october-2026/